The Scenario Grid – Version 1

Before I get into the Scenario Grid, there was a little tweaking of the Analysis and Assessment – Impact and Uncertainty that shifted a number of drivers from one sector to another. The ability to download the events form the roadmap, take them into the Excel workbook and quickly sort them made the process of re-addressing the events very straight forward.

So firstly, here is the revised allocation of events for to each sector of the plot:

NB The events are not sorted within each sector.

The previous assessment and processing through the Excel workbook clearly showed Consumerism in Healthcare and National Economic Performance to be the most potentially impactful and uncertain drivers and it is therefore those that have formed the axes of the grid.

I am treating these characterisations as draft indicators of what each of the four potential futures is like. The emphasis may change as the stories develop from working through how each driver could play out in each work, but I imagine the essence will remain.

Here are some links that might be useful to you:

The Healthcare System Futures 2030 roadmap (MS Silverlight required to view).

The latest roadmap pdf.

The informing choices website – http://www.informingchoices.com/.

The first post of this blog - providing some background.

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